2018 Philadelphia Phillies Top 10 Prospects
|Phillies Top 10 Prospects|
|1. J.P. Crawford, SS|
|2. Sixto Sanchez, RHP|
|3. Scott Kingery, 2B|
|4. Adonis Medina, RHP|
|5. Adam Haseley, OF|
|6. Jojo Romero, LHP|
|7. Jhailyn Ortiz, OF|
|8. Jorge Alfaro, C|
|9. Mickey Moniak, OF|
|10. Franklyn Kilome, RHP|
We kick off division-by-division Top 10 Prospects rankings this year with the National League East. For each organization, we identify the 10 prospects with the highest ceilings, with consideration given to the likelihood of reaching those ceilings.
To qualify as a prospect, a position player cannot exceed 130 big league at-bats, while a pitcher cannot exceed 50 innings or 30 relief appearances. These thresholds mirror major league rookie qualifications, albeit without regard for major league service time.
Notable Graduations: 1B Rhys Hoskins (6) starred, while OF Nick Williams (4), C Andrew Knapp (14) and RHPs Nick Pivetta and Ben Lively (18) showed flashes.
Trending: ⬅️➡️Still rich with position depth.
SYSTEM OVERVIEWStrengths: The Phillies have one of the deepest farm systems in baseball thanks to a strong international program, trades and high draft picks. Even with Rhys Hoskins and Nick Williams graduating, the club has more upper-level bats ready to help with J.P. Crawford and Scott Kingery. The Latin American pitching pipeline continues to be a strength, led by Sixto Sanchez, with arms like Seranthony Dominguez, Ranger Suarez and Francisco Morales continuing to pop up.
Weaknesses: The Phillies don’t have a glaring weakness on the farm because the system is well balanced. While they have starting pitching prospects in the system, nobody will likely help them in 2018 beyond back-end starters like Drew Anderson or Tom Eshelman.
BEST TOOLS🔸Best Hitter for Average: Scott Kingery. 🔸Best Power Hitter: Dylan Cozens. 🔸Best Strike-Zone Discipline: J.P. Crawford. 🔸Fastest Baserunner: Roman Quinn. 🔸Best Athlete: Roman Quinn. 🔸Best Fastball: Sixto Sanchez. 🔸Best Curveball: Franklyn Kilome. 🔸Best Slider: Edgar Garcia. 🔸Best Changeup: Jose Taveras. 🔸Best Control: Tom Eshelman. 🔸Best Defensive Catcher: Edgar Cabral. 🔸Best Defensive INF: J.P. Crawford. 🔸Best INF Arm: J.P. Crawford. 🔸Best Defensive OF: Roman Quinn. 🔸Best OF Arm: Jose Pujols.
PROJECTED 2021 LINEUP
(Listed with 2021 season age)🔸C Jorge Alfaro (28) 🔸1B Rhys Hoskins (28) 🔸2B Scott Kingery (27) 🔸3B Maikel Franco (28) 🔸SS J.P. Crawford (26) 🔸LF Nick Williams (27) 🔸CF Odubel Herrera (29) 🔸RF Adam Haseley (25) 🔸SP Sixto Sanchez (22) 🔸SP Aaron Nola (28) 🔸SP Adonis Medina (24) 🔸SP Franklyn Kilome (26) 🔸SP Ranger Suarez (25) 🔸CL Seranthony Dominguez (26)
TOP PROSPECTS OF THE DECADE(Listed with 2017 organization)
🔸2008:: RHP Carlos Carrasco (Indians) | WAR: 16.3 🔸2009:: OF Domonic Brown (Rockies) | WAR: -0.7 🔸2010:: OF Domonic Brown (Rockies) | WAR: ** 🔸2011:: OF Domonic Brown (Rockies)| WAR: ** 🔸2012:: RHP Trevor May (Twins) | WAR: 0.2 🔸2013: LHP Jesse Biddle (Braves) | WAR: N/A 🔸2014: 3B Maikel Franco (Phillies) | WAR: 2.3 🔸2015: SS J.P. Crawford (Phillies) | Top 10 🔸2016: SS J.P. Crawford (Phillies) | ** 🔸2017: SS J.P. Crawford (Phillies)| **
TOP DRAFT PICKS OF THE DECADE(Listed with 2017 organization)
🔸2008:: SS Anthony Hewitt (DNP) | WAR: N/A 🔸2009:: OF Kelly Dugan (Diamondbacks) | WAR: N/A 🔸2010:: LHP Jesse Biddle (Braves) | WAR: N/A 🔸2011:: OF Larry Greene (Retired) | WAR: N/A 🔸2012:: RHP Shane Watson (Phillies) | WAR: N/A 🔸2013: SS J.P. Crawford (Phillies) | Top 10 🔸2014: RHP Aaron Nola (Phillies) | WAR: 5.9 🔸2015: SS Cornelius Randolph (Phillies) | WAR: N/A 🔸2016: OF Mickey Moniak (Phillies) | Top 10 🔸2017: OF Adam Haseley (Phillies) | Top 10
|1. J.P. Crawford, SS 📹|
|BORN: Jan. 11, 1995.|
|B-T: L-R | HT: 6-2 | WT: 185|
|DRAFTED: HS—Lakewood, Calif., 2013 (1st round).|
|SIGNED BY: Demerius Pittman.|
|MINORS: .243/.351/.405 | 15 HR | 5 SB | 474 AB|
Scouting Report: Even when he struggles, Crawford stands out for his plate discipline. He’s a patient, selective hitter who recognizes offspeed pitches, piles up walks and is a an on-base threat. At times, his strike-zone judgment was the only offensive attribute working for him. He got into a bad habit of pulling off the ball, causing his hips to fly open. That created a longer swing path, left him vulnerable to pitches on the outer third and cut into his ability to drive the ball. Crawford adjusted in the second half by setting up his hands closer to his body and keeping his lower half into his swing better. The changes improved his swing efficiency and helped him stay through the ball better. Crawford’s offensive game is still centered around hitting line drives, but he showed the potential for 15-plus home runs. Crawford struggled on defense early in the season, but by the end of the year he again looked like a true shortstop with good athleticism and range, quick hands, a smooth transfer and an accurate, above-average arm. He shifted to third base in August to get accustomed to the position with Freddy Galvis at shortstop in Philadelphia.
🔸Projected Future Grades On 20-80 Scouting Scale Hit: 60. Power: 45. Speed: 50. Field: 55. Arm: 60.The Future: Crawford’s extended struggles in Triple-A can’t simply be dismissed, but his turnaround showed he still has the talent to be a centerpiece player. He should soon supplant Galvis as the Phillies’ everyday shortstop and develop into an above-average player.
|2. Sixto Sanchez, RHP 📹|
|BORN:July 29, 1998.|
|B-T: R-R | HT: 6-0 | WT: 200|
|SIGNED: Dominican Republic, 2015.|
|SIGNED BY: Carlos Salas.|
|MINORS: 5-7, 3.03 ERA | 84 SO | 18 BB | 95 IP|
Scouting Report: Sanchez is one of the hardest-throwing starting pitchers in the minors, but you wouldn’t know it from his delivery. He has easy, fluid mechanics that he repeats consistently, helping him command a lively fastball that sits in the mid-90s and touches 100 mph. Sanchez can overpower hitters with his fastball, though he’s working to polish his secondary pitches to miss more bats. His changeup flashes plus with good sink and run, and it helps him thwart lefties, though he needs to do a better job of repeating the same arm slot as his fastball. His slider is average now but could be above-average if he can add more power.
The Future: Sanchez’s fastball command should help him continue to move quickly, with a chance to join the big league rotation by 2019 and develop into a front-line starter along the lines of the Yankees’ Luis Severino.
|3. Scott Kingery, 2B 📹|
|BORN: April 29, 1994.|
|B-T: R-R | HT: 5-10 | WT: 180|
|DRAFTED: Arizona, 2015 (2nd round).|
|SIGNED BY: Brad Holland.|
|MINORS: .304/.359/.530 | 26 HR | 29 SB | 543 AB|
Scouting Report: Kingery has a chance to develop into a plus hitter. He has a simple, efficient swing with good bat speed, balance and barrel control. He recognizes pitches, stays back on offspeed pitches and covers the plate, driving the ball with loft to all fields. Kingery has a medium build but strong forearms that help him generate solid-average power and a chance to hit 20 homers. A smart, instinctive player, he is a plus runner who gets good jumps stealing bases. He’s also a plus defender at second base, where he has good range and turns the double play well with a fringe-average arm.
The Future: Kingery is a well-rounded player whose batting, baserunning and defensive value in the middle of the diamond could make him an above-average regular who hits toward the top of a lineup. He likely will open 2018 back in Triple-A, but he should be a key part of Philadelphia’s big league club by the all-star break.
|4. Adonis Medina, RHP 📹|
|BORN: Dec. 18, 1996.|
|B-T: R-R | HT: 6-1 | WT: 185|
|SIGNED: Dominican Republic, 2014|
|SIGNED BY: Koby Perez/Carlos Salas.|
|MINORS: 4-9, 3.01 ERA | 133 SO | 39 BB | 120 IP|
Scouting Report: Medina operates off a fastball that parks at 92-95 mph and touches 97. His fastball is his best pitch, and he combines plus velocity with late life and the ability to throw his heater for strikes. Over the past year, Medina altered his delivery to get more extension out front at his release point, which helps his fastball jump on hitters faster than they expect. After striking out just 13 percent of batters in 2016, Medina doubled his strikeout rate to 26 percent in 2017. His changeup became a plus pitch and he introduced a slider that’s a solid-average offering. Medina is a good athlete who controls the running game well.
The Future: The improvement of Medina’s secondary stuff gives him an opportunity to develop into a mid-rotation starter. His next step will be high Class A Clearwater.
|5. Adam Haseley, OF 📹|
|BORN: Aug. 31, 1992|
|B-T: L-L | HT: 6-1 | WT: 185|
|DRAFTED:Virginia, 2017 (1st round).|
|SIGNED BY: Paul Murphy.|
|MINORS: .284/.357/.405 | 3 HR | 6 SB | 215 AB|
Scouting Report: Haseley doesn’t have one loud 70 tool on the 20-80 scale, but he does a lot of things well. He’s a potential above-average hitter with a good sense for the strike zone. He has an inside-out swing that leads him to use the opposite field frequently. He has average power, and once he learns which pitches he can turn on to drive with authority, his power numbers could spike. Haseley isn’t a burner, but his slightly above-average speed is enough to start his career in center field. He has an average, accurate arm.
The Future: Now that Haseley dropped pitching, the Phillies are optimistic that his bat will take off. He will open 2018 at one of their Class A affiliates, with a chance to develop into a solid-average regular.
|6. Jojo Romero, LHP 📹|
|BORN: Sept. 6, 1996.|
|B-T: L-L | HT: 6-0 | WT: 190|
|DRAFTED: Yavapai (Ariz.) JC, 2016 (4th round).|
|SIGNED BY: Brad Holland.|
|MINORS: 10-3, 2.16 ERA | 128 SO | 26 BB | 129 IP|
Scouting Report: After throwing 89-92 mph and touching 94 in college, Romero jumped to 91-94 in 2017 and topped out at 96. An excellent athlete, he repeats his delivery and locates his fastball well to both sides of the plate. Romero’s changeup and curveball each earn 55-60 grades on the 20-80 scale, with his changeup the more consistently reliable weapon. He has a fringe-average slider that he mixes in as well to give hitters another look. Romero throws all of his pitches for strikes and is studious in his preparation. He does the little things well, too, with quick feet to hold runners close and field his position.
The Future: Romero’s polish should help him continue to move quickly through the system, with a chance to crack the big league rotation by 2019 and develop into a No. 3 or 4 starter.
|7. Jhailyn Ortiz, OF|
|BORN: Nov. 18, 1998.|
|B-T: R-R | HT: 6-3| WT: 250|
|SIGNED: Dominican Republic, 2015|
|SIGNED BY: Carlos Salas/Franklin Felida.|
|MINORS: .302/.401/.560 | 8 HR | 5 SB | 159 AB|
Scouting Report: Ortiz’s calling card is his raw power, a 70 on the 20-80 scale. He has the bat speed and strength to launch balls deep out of the park to the pull side, but he uses the opposite field well to drive the ball out the other way with ease. Ortiz still gets his weight out too early on his front side at times and his power will always come with a high strikeout rate, but he made major strides with his approach in 2017. He can hammer fastballs, but he also did a better job recognizing offspeed pitches. Ortiz is built like a first baseman, but moves surprisingly well for his size. His plus arm fits well in right field.
The Future: Ortiz is a potential 30-homer bat who could become a middle-of-the-order bat. Low Class A Lakewood is his next stop.
|8. Jorge Alfaro, C. 📹|
|BORN: June 11, 1993.|
|B-T: R-R| HT: 6-2 | WT: 225|
|SIGNED: Colombia, 2010|
|SIGNED BY: Rodolfo Rosario/Don Welke (Rangers).|
|MINORS: .241/.291/.358 | 7 HR | 1 SB | 324 AB|
Scouting Report: Alfaro has a fast bat and plus-plus raw power to go deep to any part of the park. He doesn’t fully tap into his power in games, however, in part due to his free-swinging approach. Alfaro doesn’t recognize offspeed pitches well and frequently expands the strike zone. His strikeout rate jumped to 32 percent in Triple-A and he rarely walks, so he will never be a high on-base threat. Alfaro has gotten bigger, but he still moves well for a catcher and has below-average speed. His arm is well above-average, though his blocking and receiving need improvement.
The Future: Alfaro’s power could carry him to an everyday role, but he must improve his pitch selectivity and clean up his receiving to get to that level.
|9. Mickey Moniak, OF 📹|
|BORN: May 13, 1998.|
|B-T: L-R | HT: 6-2 | WT: 185|
|DRAFTED: HS—Carlsbad, Calif., 2016 (1st round).|
|SIGNED BY: Mike Garcia.|
|MINORS: .236/.284/.341 | 5 HR | 11 SB | 466 AB|
Scouting Report: Moniak is a tricky player to project given his struggles. He still earns praise from scouts for his easy, simple swing that is direct to the ball. He got himself into trouble by getting away from a selective hitting approach and instead rolled over a lot of easy ground balls to the right side. Moniak will need to get stronger, both to handle the rigors of a full season and to add to his power, which for now is mostly limited to the gaps. An above-average runner, he drew mixed reviews for his defense in center field. He at times made good plays with a gliding stride and an above-average arm, though other scouts questioned his reads.
The Future: Moniak’s development will require more patience than originally anticipated, but his underlying talent suggests he can be an above-average big leaguer. Now 2018 will be key for him to show that his full-season debut was more fluke than anything.
|10. Franklyn Kilome, RHP|
|BORN: June 25, 1995|
|B-T: R-R | HT: 6-6 | WT: 220|
|SIGNED: Dominican Republic, 2013|
|SIGNED BY: Koby Perez.|
|MINORS: 7-7, 2.83 ERA | 103 SO | 52 BB | 127 IP|
Scouting Report: Kilome’s fastball gets on hitters quickly thanks to his extension, downhill plane and velocity that sits 93-96 mph and peaks at 99. He throws a power four-seam fastball, but he added a two-seamer to his repertoire in 2017 to help him induce weak, early-count contact. One drawback was that Kilome’s strikeout rate dropped from 26 percent in 2016 to 19 percent in 2017. He has a tick above-average curveball that he can use as a putaway pitch, but his struggles to coordinate the long levers in his delivery impacts his command and puts him in too many disadvantage counts. He also throws a slider that tends to blend into his curveball, and while Kilome’s changeup has shown progress, it’s still a below-average pitch.
The Future: Kilome has the potential to be a No. 3 or 4 starter, but to reach that potential he will have to improve his fastball command, increase his swing-and-miss rate and develop his changeup.
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