2018 Baltimore Orioles Top 10 Prospects
|Orioles Top 10 Prospects|
|1. Austin Hays, OF|
|2. Ryan Mountcastle, 3B/SS|
|3. Chance Sisco, C|
|4. Hunter Harvey, RHP|
|5. D.L. Hall, LHP|
|6. Tanner Scott, LHP|
|7. Cody Sedlock, RHP|
|8. Anthony Santander, OF|
|9. Cedric Mullins, OF|
|10. Chris Lee, LHP|
For each organization, we identify the 10 prospects with the highest ceilings, with consideration given to the likelihood of reaching those ceilings.
To qualify as a prospect, a position player cannot exceed 130 big league at-bats, while a pitcher cannot exceed 50 innings or 30 relief appearances. These thresholds mirror major league rookie qualifications, albeit without regard for major league service time.
Trending: 🔺Impact bats make the difference.
SYSTEM OVERVIEWStrengths: In Austin Hays, Ryan Mountcastle, Chance Sisco and Cedric Mullins, the Orioles enter 2018 with as many as four potential future regular position players in their system. Hays and Mountcastle, in particular, have impact potential with the bat.
Weaknesses: For as much promise as pitchers like Hunter Harvey and D.L. Hall possess, they haven’t proven their stuff can hold up for a full season. In fact, the system lacks a single impact rotation arm who could conceivably help in 2018. Even college arms like Cody Sedlock and Keegan Akin have not made seamless transitions to pro ball. Elsewhere, the Orioles don’t engage in the market for international amateurs, and they had traded all but $500,000 of their bonus pool money for 2017-18, ensuring another thin class of Latin American imports.
BEST TOOLS🔸Best Hitter for Average: Austin Hays. 🔸Best Power Hitter: Austin Hays. 🔸Best Strike-Zone Discipline: Chance Sisco. 🔸Fastest Baserunner: Cedric Mullins. 🔸Best Athlete: Cedric Mullins. 🔸Best Fastball: Tanner Scott. 🔸Best Curveball: Hunter Harvey. 🔸Best Slider: Tanner Scott. 🔸Best Changeup: Yefry Ramirez. 🔸Best Control: Alex Wells. 🔸Best Defensive Catcher: Austin Wynns. 🔸Best Defensive INF: Erick Salcedo. 🔸Best INF Arm: Jomar Reyes. 🔸Best Defensive OF: Cedric Mullins. 🔸Best OF Arm: Austin Hays.
PROJECTED 2021 LINEUP
(Listed with 2021 season age)🔸C Chance Sisco (25) 🔸1B Trey Mancini (28) 🔸2B Jonathan Schoop (29) 🔸3B Manny Machado (28) 🔸SS Tim Beckham (31) 🔸LF Ryan Mountcastle (24) 🔸CF Cedric Mullins (26) 🔸RF Austin Hays (26) 🔸DH Chris Davis (35) 🔸SP Kevin Gausman (30) 🔸SP Dylan Bundy (28) 🔸SP Hunter Harvey (26) 🔸SP D.L. Hall(23) 🔸SP Cody Sedlock (25) 🔸CL Zach Britton (33)
TOP PROSPECTS OF THE DECADE(Listed with 2017 organization)
🔸2008: C Matt Wieters (Nationals) | WAR: 15.7 🔸2009: C Matt Wieters (Nationals) | WAR: ** 🔸2010: LHP Brian Matusz (Diamondbacks) | WAR: 2.7 🔸2011: SS Manny Machado (Orioles) | WAR: 27.9 🔸2012: RHP Dylan Bundy (Orioles) | WAR: 4.4 🔸2013: RHP Dylan Bundy (Orioles) | WAR: ** 🔸2014: RHP Dylan Bundy (Orioles) | WAR: ** 🔸2015: RHP Dylan Bundy (Orioles) | WAR: ** 🔸2016: RHP Dylan Bundy (Orioles) | WAR: ** 🔸2017: C Chance Sisco (Orioles) | Top 10
TOP DRAFT PICKS OF THE DECADE(Listed with 2017 organization)
🔸2008: LHP Brian Matusz (Diamondbacks) | WAR: 2.7 🔸2009: RHP Matt Hobgood (DNP) | WAR: N/A 🔸2010: SS Manny Machado (Orioles) | WAR: 27.9 🔸2011: RHP Dylan Bundy (Orioles) | WAR: 4.4 🔸2012: RHP Kevin Gausman (Orioles) | WAR: 8.0 🔸2013: RHP Hunter Harvey (Orioles) | Top 10 🔸2014: LHP Brian Gonzalez (Orioles) | WAR: N/A 🔸2015: OF D.J. Stewart (Orioles) | WAR: N/A 🔸2016: RHP Cody Sedlock (Orioles) | Top 10 🔸2017: LHP D.L. Hall (Orioles) | Top 10
|1. Austin Hays, OF|
|BORN: July 5, 1995|
|B-T: R-R | HT: 6-1 | WT: 195|
|DRAFTED: Jacksonville, 2016 (3rd round)|
|SIGNED BY: Arthur McConnehead|
|MINORS (2 teams): .329/.365/.593 | 32 HR |5 SB | 523 AB|
Scouting Report: A baseball rat who has endeared himself to Orioles brass for his lack of batting gloves and a playing style that’s energetic-bordering-on-reckless, Hays’ compact swing and above-average bat speed help him attack the ball and drive it to all fields, and he has proved to be particularly adept at hitting fastballs in any count. While he controls the barrel and can be a plus hitter with plus power, his aggression in attacking fastballs made him susceptible to major league secondary pitches, an issue that Hays and the Orioles knew of before his stint in the big leagues and believe can be improved with more experience. Hays can be an above-average right fielder thanks to a plus arm and good instincts in the field, and he has played some center field. Though he hasn’t stolen many bases as a professional, he runs a tick above average and always hustles out of the box.
🔸Projected Future Grades On 20-80 Scouting Scale Hit: 60. Power: 60. Speed: 50. Field: 55. Arm: 60.The Future: While Hays’ best raw tool may be his arm, his overall package plays as an every-day regular who contributes in all phases of the game, and his solid-average tools play up because of his effort and makeup. Hays will need to adapt his aggressive approach to major league secondary pitches, but his defense and ability to hit lefthanded pitching could help him hold down a major league roster spot in 2018. He’ll likely get a chance to earn the Orioles’ vacant right field job in spring training.
|2. Ryan Mountcastle, 3B/SS 📹|
|BORN: Feb,. 18, 1997.|
|B-T: R-R| HT: 6-3 | WT: 195|
|DRAFTED: HS – Oviedo, Fla., 2015 (1st round).|
|SIGNED BY: Kevin Colon.|
|MINORS (2 teams): .287/.312/.489 | 18 HR | 8 SB | 513 AB|
Scouting Report: That promotion came with a move from shortstop—where he had committed 13 errors in 82 games and showed a well-below-average arm—to third base. Early reports indicate the momentum taking him toward first base on most plays from the hot corner helps his arm tick up to below average. Many scouts believe he’s ticketed for left field or first base. Mountcastle’s plus raw power, advanced approach and plus hit tool will carry him, but he’ll face added pressure because of his defensive profile. He gets good extension in his righthanded swing to attack the ball and hit with power to all fields, and has shown ability to recognize spin and stay with pitches.
The Future: While Mountcastle’s defensive future is in doubt, his above-average offensive potential makes him the most promising bat in the system, and he could become an every-day player regardless of his position. He’ll be back at Double-A Bowie to start 2018.
|3. Chance Sisco, C 📹|
|BORN: Feb. 24, 1995.|
|B-T: L-R| HT: 6-2 | WT: 195|
|DRAFTED: HS—Corona, Calif. (2nd round).|
|SIGNED BY: Mark Ralston.|
|MINORS: .267/.340/.395 | 7 HR | 2 SB | 344 AB|
Scouting Report: Sisco has a calm lefthanded swing with fluid hands, and projects to be an above-average hitter with the potential for average power as he continues to add strength to his slight frame and improve on his gap power. While the team touts improvement in all facets of his defensive game, including receiving, blocking and game-management, the running game has always challenged Sisco’s average arm strength. Sisco threw out 41 percent of would-be base stealers in the second half at Triple-A Norfolk, but that only raised his season rate to 22.6 percent. He’ll need to have perfect footwork and transfers to consistently lower his pop times below 2.0 seconds.
The Future: The Orioles believe that Sisco is ready to contribute in the majors, though his defense will dictate how comfortable manager Buck Showalter is in using him. Average defense will make him an every-day catcher due to his offensive abilities, especially against righthanded pitching, and he’ll enter spring training with the chance to make the Opening Day roster.
|4. Hunter Harvey, RHP 📹|
|BORN: Dec. 9, 1994.|
|B-T: R-R | HT: 6-3 | WT: 175|
|DRAFTED: HS – Catawba, N.C., 2013 (1st round).|
|SIGNED BY: Chris Gale.|
|MINORS (3 teams): 0-1, 0.96 ERA | 30 SO | 6 BB | 19 IP|
Scouting Report: Harvey’s 92-95 mph fastball reaches 97 mph and rates as an above-average pitch with downhill angle that he can command to both sides of the plate with armside run. His curveball slowly came back after the surgery, but showed the sharp, two-plane break that made it a plus pitch pre-injury. He seldom throws his changeup in games, but the pitch has average potential. Harvey matured physically and grew into the wiry frame that initially led to durability concerns.
The Future: A healthy Harvey projects as a No. 3 starter, with the potential for high-leverage relief if his changeup doesn’t develop or his crossfire delivery prevents him from throwing quality strikes with all three pitches. He’ll likely be added to the 40-man roster this fall, but the team’s hope is that he can build up his innings in the minor leagues to provide a firm base for his future.
|5. D.L. Hall, LHP 📹|
|BORN: Sept. 19, 1998.|
|B-T: L-L | HT: 6-0 | WT: 180|
|DRAFTED: HS – Valdosta, Ga., 2017 (1st round)|
|SIGNED BY: Arthur McConnehead.|
|MINORS: 0-0, 6.97 ERA | 12 SO | 10 BB | 10 IP|
Scouting Report: Hall struggled in his professional debut, walking nearly a batter per inning (10 in 10 .1) and ending with a 6.97 ERA, but was one of the best pitchers Baltimore had in the Instructional League and impressed club officials with his consistent release point along with his pitchability. Even with expected physical maturation, his fastball is already plus at 92-95 mph, with the ability to throw inside to both sides of the plate. His 1-to-7 curveball projects as an above-average pitch, with his changeup presently below-average but with average potential.
The Future: Though far from the majors, Hall was seen as having the highest upside of any pitcher in the 2017 draft, and could blossom into a mid-rotation starter. He’ll be ticketed for Class-A Delmarva to begin his first full season, where he’ll be further introduced to the professional game as a 19-year-old.
|6. Tanner Scott, LHP 📹|
|BORN: July 22, 1994.|
|B-T: R-L | HT: 6-2 | WT: 220|
|DRAFTED: Howard (Texas) JC, 2014 (6th round).|
|SIGNED BY: Thom Dreier.|
|MINORS: 0-2, 2.22 ERA | 87 SO | 46 BB | 69 IP|
Scouting Report: Scott shows well-above-average velocity on his fastball, which he can sink and run at 97-100 mph with deception coming out of his hand. His slider went from average to above-average at 86-90 mph with tight break. While his command improved with the extra work on his mechanics, his violent delivery will produce more control than spot command. That could still prove effective as he’s difficult to square up, even over the plate.
The Future: The Orioles haven’t committed to using Scott as a starter long-term, but the initial plan is to keep him in a five-man rotation for continued development in 2018. His changeup and control will need to improve for him to profile as even a back-end major league starter, but with his fastball-slider combination out of the bullpen, the Orioles see a possible future closer.
|7. Cody Sedlock, RHP 📹|
|BORN: June 19, 1995.|
|B-T: R-R| HT: 6-3 | WT: 190|
|DRAFTED: Illinois, 2016 (1st round).|
|SIGNED BY: Dan Durst.|
|MINORS: 4-5, 5.90 ERA | 69 SO | 36 BB | 90 IP|
Scouting Report: Sedlock’s delivery gives scouts pause, as he has a pronounced stab behind his body and a long arm action. His fastball was missing the high-end velocity spikes from Illinois, but remains a future plus pitch at 91-94 mph with hard run and late sink. His curveball and changeup both project as above-average pitches, while he also throws a slider that could be an average pitch. He didn’t pitch in the Instructional League, but worked there to revert back to his delivery from last summer, which he altered after the 2016 offseason in an unsuccessful effort to add more velocity.
The Future: The Orioles hope that Sedlock’s old delivery allows him to command an arsenal that profiles as a No. 3 starter. If not, he could see his stuff play up in shorter bursts in relief, where repeating his delivery won’t be as much of an issue. Sedlock could return to Frederick in 2018.
|8. Anthony Santander, OF 📹|
|BORN: Oct. 19, 1994.|
|B-T: B-R | HT: 6-2 | WT: 190|
|SIGNED: Venezuela, 2011.|
|SIGNED BY: Ramon Pena/Antonio Cabelleo (Indians).|
|MINORS (2 teams): .382/.453/.745 | 5 HR | 0 SB | 55 AB|
Scouting Report: A switch-hitter with fluid hands and above-average power from both sides, Santander has drawn Victor Martinez comparisons. Santander is a below-average runner with a fringe-average arm who needs experience to be a fringe-average corner outfielder, meaning his bat will have to carry him should he continue as a corner outfielder. However, that’s possible, especially with the traditional uppercut lefthanded swing that he’s shown in the minors.
The Future: Because he spent only 46 days in the majors in 2017, he’ll need to be there for the first 44 days of 2018 for the Orioles to keep his rights under the Rule 5 stipulations. If they accomplish that, the 23-year-old could benefit from his first substantial time in Double-A, where the Orioles hope he’ll develop into a solid-average regular.
|9. Cedric Mullins, OF|
|BORN: Oct. 1, 1994.|
|B-T: B-L | HT: 5-8 | WT: 175|
|DRAFTED: Campbell, 2015 (13th round)|
|SIGNED BY: Rich Morales.|
|MINORS: .265/.319/.460 | 37 HR | 9 SB | 309 AB|
Scouting Report: Mullins impressed the major league coaching staff in limited spring training looks with his calmness and range in the outfield, showing the ability to play solid-average defense in center field and above-average defense in left. His above-average speed is enough to cover ground at all three spots, but his below-average arm will limit him. At the plate, he’s a switch-hitter with average potential and a line-drive swing from the left side who is still developing as a righthanded hitter. But his quick-twitch swing and reactions at the plate intrigue scouts.
The Future: With just 76 games at Double-A, Mullins could return there to start 2018, though he’ll likely get a chance to make another impression in major league camp. His defensive profile and speed are such that he should get the opportunity to hold down an every-day outfield job at his peak.
|10. Chris Lee, LHP|
|BORN: Aug. 17, 1992.|
|B-T: L-R| HT: 6-3 | WT: 180|
|DRAFTED: Santa Fe (Fla.) JC, 2011 (4th round).|
|SIGNED BY: Larry Pardo (Astros).|
|MINORS: 5-6, 5.11 ERA | 83 SO | 54 BB | 116 IP|
Scouting Report: Lee works from a fluid, athletic lefthanded delivery and features a 91-95 mph fastball that sinks, a changeup with plus potential, and a developing slider, though the pitch is currently below average. Lee’s secondary pitches, especially the slider, need to be more consistent in order to be swing-and-miss threats, though he’s effective against lefthanded hitters, and scouts believe his stuff can tick up if he moves to the bullpen.
The Future: For now, the Orioles’ focus is on getting Lee as many innings as possible, and they’re showing uncharacteristic patience with a young talent who at worst can be a late-inning relief arm if he doesn’t reach his No. 4 starter ceiling. Lee will be in the mix for a major league role in spring training, but a return to Norfolk is more likely in 2018.
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